The Vancouver Scrum

On the move!

Agh! You’re still here? My new site and weblog, is now up and running; new posts are building up over there, never to be mirrored here. Go! What are you waiting for? All the stuff worth keeping has been migrated over to the new server, and I don’t anticipate making any more posts here.

Bloggers and webmasters: Update your links! Simply replace with in your blogrolls or bookmarks to point to the new site. Old posts will remain on this server for as long as the people at Blogger/Google allow them to remain; unfortunately, I’m not going to bother to come up with any way of converting permalinks on this blog to their corresponding posts on the new site. Yes, I plead laziness. I also realize the irony of switching away from Blogger just it starts to add features that the demanding blog nerds insist upon.

Thanks for reading and linking, and see you over at!

—Ian King, December 13, 2004

Sunday, June 27, 2004


Coyne's Crew Calls It

Following his call for predictions over at the Echo Chamber, Andrew Coyne has tallied up his commenters' guesses on which party will win how many seats in tomorrow's election.
UPPERDATE - June 27, 5:25 pm: With 270-plus entries, Collective Wisdom still stands at: Crooks 106, Fascists 122, Commies 23, Traitors 57, Freaks 1.

My own forecast has been revised somewhat, making use of more evidence and less guesswork. I now put it at Crooks 102, Fascists 124, Commies 26, Traitors 55, and Freaks 1...

UPPESTDATE June 28, 12 am: The flood of predictions has now slowed to a trickle, so I think we can say the Collective Wisdom Decision Desk has declared a Conservative minority. Indeed, of 279 entrants, nearly three in four (198) were in that camp, versus 72 calling a Liberal minority and 9 ties. 10 brave souls predicted a Conservative majority, while two are way out on a limb called "Liberal majority."
After running through the predictions, I can say that a significant number of the predictions seemed to be Conservative partisans predicting what they hope will happen rather than what they think will happen. We'll see.
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